truth is in the eye of the beholder as some might say.
i would say it is a consensus reached by society.
probability is easily defined as the frequency that something is true.
i often have dreams that are tests of my perception and ability to find the reality of a situation. i had a dream last night that involved working as a temp at a high paying machinist job. i was tested on my ability to recognize an incomplete tool set in which i had to maintain. there were updates when i was at home so the tool set changed every time. it was a test of function, style, and variation. i was also tested on being wrong as there were circumstances where i got to my location and did not have the chance to complete the set yet had to do the best i could with what i had and reasonably handle the result.
what does this have to do with truth and probability you may ask?
in order to be effective you must be able to use probability to asses what someone wants from you.
you must also be able to asses what they consider to be true.
when i woke up, i realized it was a mental test of sorts (why i do this to myself i will never know).
i googled probability and truth only to find a familiar face.
game theory by john nash...
i found it to be somewhat of a paradox as i have schizophrenia.
in the end, i decided that to make decisions based on higher functioning you must realise the views of the public. in other words, it is a social decision.
john was, in a sense, solving himself in the light of a disease.
and he forever changed the way the world works.